Poland’s economy continues to demonstrate resilience, with recent data showing consistent expansion. GDP grew 0.8% quarter-over-quarter in Q2 2025, building on the 0.7% growth recorded at the start of the year. Year-over-year economic expansion reached 3.4%, driven primarily by robust consumer activity and strong industrial output.
Consumer Spending and Industrial Activity Drive Growth
Retail sales surged 2.5% quarter-over-quarter, contributing to a 4% annual increase in private consumption. The industrial sector maintained positive momentum with production rising 1.0%. Market analysts attribute Poland’s economic strength to multiple factors, including substantial EU funding allocations and significant wage growth across industries.
The country appears well-positioned to weather recent U.S. tariff increases on EU goods effective August 7, given its limited export exposure to American markets. Economic forecasts suggest Poland will achieve 3.0% growth for full-year 2025. Monetary policy remains accommodative, with the National Bank of Poland expected to implement another 25 basis point rate cut on September 3.
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ETF Composition Reflects Financial Sector Dominance
Tracking the MSCI Poland IMI 25/50 Index, the iShares MSCI Poland ETF maintains 32 holdings with significant concentration in its top positions. Financial sector exposure dominates the fund’s allocation, accounting for nearly half of its portfolio. Other notable sector weightings include consumer cyclicals, energy, and basic materials.
Key holdings include:
- PKO Bank Polski (12.23%)
- PZU (8.91%)
- Dino Polska (7.84%)
- CD Projekt (6.02%)
- KGHM Polska Miedz (5.76%)
The fund’s top ten positions represent 64.49% of total assets, reflecting a concentrated approach to Polish market exposure. This composition positions investors to benefit from Poland’s strengthening financial sector while maintaining diversified exposure to other key industries driving the country’s economic expansion.
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