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Analyst Confidence Surges for US Foods Stock

Dieter Jaworski by Dieter Jaworski
September 8, 2025
in Analysis, Consumer & Luxury, Value & Growth
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A wave of upward revisions from top financial institutions is bolstering the outlook for US Foods Holding Corp. This shift in sentiment is led by UBS, which has significantly raised its price target from $84 to $96. The consensus among ten covering analysts now points to an average target of $88.20, suggesting a potential upside of more than 13% from recent trading levels.

The company’s strong second-quarter 2025 earnings, reported on August 7th, serve as the foundation for this renewed optimism. US Foods posted adjusted earnings per share of $1.19, solidly exceeding the $1.14 consensus estimate. While net sales saw a 3.8% increase to $10.08 billion, this figure came in just shy of market expectations.

Key Developments:
* Wall Street Zen: Upgrade from “Buy” to “Strong Buy”
* UBS Group: Price target raised to $96
* Q2 Adjusted EPS: $1.19 (Estimate: $1.14)
* Median Price Target: $90
* Upcoming Event: CFO appearance at Piper Sandler Conference on September 10

This positive reassessment extends beyond a single firm. Other major banks, including Piper Sandler, Wells Fargo, and Morgan Stanley, have also lifted their price objectives for the food distributor’s shares. The median price target from a broader set of twenty analysts sits at $90, with the most bullish projections reaching as high as $103.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying US Foods?

Institutional investment activity further underscores this confidence. Several major funds increased their stakes in US Foods during the second quarter. Benjamin Edwards Inc. grew its position by 3.3%, while Securian Asset Management and Archer Investment Corp. also added to their holdings. Conversely, Executive Vice President Dirk J. Locascio sold 7,500 shares in July at an average price of $80 per share—a transaction closely monitored by market participants.

Trading at $77.91 as of the September 5th close, the stock is positioned above its 200-day moving average of $73.29 but slightly below its 50-day average of $79.92. With a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.28 and a market capitalization of $17.54 billion, the valuation remains ambitious.

Market attention now turns to an upcoming presentation by CFO Dirk Locascio at the Piper Sandler Growth Frontiers Conference on September 10th. This appearance is anticipated to provide further clarity on the company’s strategic direction and operational plans moving forward.

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Tags: US Foods
Dieter Jaworski

Dieter Jaworski

About Dieter Jaworski From a numbers-obsessed child to creating his first investment newsletter. Even as a child, Dieter Jaworski's mother couldn't believe how fascinated he was with numbers. This early passion for mathematics and data analysis laid the foundation for a successful career in financial markets and investment analysis.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Financial Newsletter Publishing
  • Data-Driven Investment Strategies
  • Market Pattern Recognition
Dieter's unique approach combines his natural affinity for numbers with decades of market experience, providing investors with data-driven insights and practical investment strategies.

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