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Micron Technology Approaches Critical Earnings Test Following Analyst Optimism

Andreas Sommer by Andreas Sommer
September 18, 2025
in Analysis, Earnings, Nasdaq, Semiconductors, Trading & Momentum
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Micron Technology finds itself at a pivotal juncture as it prepares to release quarterly results. The memory chip manufacturer recently achieved a new 52-week high this Wednesday, propelled by a series of significant price target upgrades from prominent analysts. All attention now shifts to next Monday’s earnings report, which will determine whether this impressive rally has staying power or is due for a correction.

Wall Street’s Bullish Sentiment

A notable surge of analyst confidence has swept through Wall Street, with Susquehanna taking the most aggressive stance. The investment bank dramatically raised its price target from $160 to $200 per share—representing a substantial 25 percent increase. This new target suggests approximately 24 percent additional upside from current trading levels.

This optimistic outlook stems from Micron’s strategic pivot toward premium memory solutions, particularly its High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM) products designed for artificial intelligence applications. These specialized chips have become critical components in advanced AI infrastructure, positioning Micron at the center of the technology sector’s most transformative trend.

The bullish sentiment extended beyond Susquehanna, with Wolfe Research elevating its target to $180 and Deutsche Bank increasing its projection to $175. This coordinated optimism indicates strong institutional belief in Micron’s ongoing transformation.

Artificial Intelligence Driving Growth

The core driver behind analyst enthusiasm centers on artificial intelligence. While much attention has focused on NVIDIA and its graphics processing units, market experts emphasize that memory represents an equally crucial component in the AI ecosystem.

Micron’s HBM3E products have emerged as exceptional commercial successes, with NVIDIA confirming earlier this year that Micron serves as a key supplier for its next-generation GeForce RTX 50 Blackwell GPUs. This partnership continues to yield significant financial returns.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Micron?

Recent performance metrics demonstrate this success: Micron’s Compute and Networking segment achieved record revenue of $5.1 billion, with HBM sales growing nearly 50 percent sequentially. Deutsche Bank analysts project gross margins could exceed 50 percent, citing ongoing supply constraints within the DRAM market.

Valuation Perspective

Despite substantial share price appreciation, many analysts consider Micron’s valuation remains attractive. Trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of approximately 12, the stock sits well below the sector average of nearly 29. This compares favorably to industry peers such as Broadcom at 41 times earnings and NVIDIA at 32 times earnings.

This valuation gap, combined with Micron’s strategic positioning within the AI supply chain, makes the company appear as one of the semiconductor sector’s remaining value opportunities amid otherwise elevated valuations.

Upcoming Earnings as Critical Test

The September 23rd earnings release will serve as the ultimate validation of current market optimism. Analysts project earnings of $2.85 per share, representing remarkable year-over-year growth of 141 percent. Revenue expectations center around $11.2 billion.

Beyond these headline numbers, market participants will scrutinize management’s forward guidance regarding HBM business development, projections for the coming fiscal year, and the company’s continued transition toward premium product segments.

With 25 out of 36 analysts maintaining “Strong Buy” recommendations, expectations have reached elevated levels. The upcoming quarterly report represents a crucial test—not only for Micron’s specific performance but for the broader narrative surrounding AI memory demand.

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Andreas Sommer

Andreas Sommer

About Andreas Sommer Over 40 years of expertise in market analysis, chart technical analysis, and strategic investment advisory. With more than four decades of experience in banking and financial journalism, Andreas Sommer is recognized as one of the leading analysts in the German-speaking market. His deep understanding of market dynamics and technical analysis has helped countless investors navigate complex financial markets.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Technical Chart Analysis
  • Strategic Investment Advisory
  • Market Trend Analysis
  • Financial Journalism
Andreas brings unparalleled insights from his extensive career in banking and financial markets, making him a trusted voice for investors seeking professional guidance.

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