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Can Pepsi’s Q3 Earnings Spark a Turnaround for Its Struggling Stock?

Dieter Jaworski by Dieter Jaworski
October 4, 2025
in Analysis, Consumer & Luxury, Earnings
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Investors are closely watching PepsiCo as the beverage and snack conglomerate approaches a pivotal moment. The company is scheduled to release its third-quarter financial results before the market opens on Thursday, October 9, an event that could determine whether its underperforming shares can stage a meaningful recovery. Following a disappointing performance in 2025, shareholders are searching for positive catalysts.

Wall Street’s Cautious Stance

Market experts remain largely skeptical about Pepsi’s near-term prospects. Current analyst ratings reveal a cautious landscape: of the 19 covering analysts, 14 maintain a “Hold” recommendation while only four advocate buying the stock. This tempered outlook is further reflected in recent price target adjustments. Wells Fargo reduced its target from $154 to $150, while UBS trimmed its projection from $175 to $170.

The stock’s performance has notably lagged behind the broader S&P 500 index, currently trading near a five-year valuation low. This positioning has driven the price-to-earnings ratio to levels not seen in an extended period, presenting both a concern and potential opportunity for value-oriented investors.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying PepsiCo?

Critical Financial Metrics Under Scrutiny

Market expectations for the upcoming report are measured. Analysts project earnings per share of $2.27 on revenue approximating $23.88 billion. This follows Pepsi’s previous quarterly announcement in July, which exceeded forecasts with EPS of $2.12 against a consensus estimate of $2.03 and revenue of $22.73 billion.

Despite that positive surprise, the company continues navigating significant headwinds. Shifting consumer preferences and a challenging growth environment present ongoing operational difficulties. Another critical factor receiving analyst attention is the company’s leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio standing at 2.12.

The upcoming earnings release will indicate whether Pepsi can convert cautious analyst sentiment into renewed investor confidence and reverse its current market trajectory.

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Tags: PepsiCo
Dieter Jaworski

Dieter Jaworski

About Dieter Jaworski From a numbers-obsessed child to creating his first investment newsletter. Even as a child, Dieter Jaworski's mother couldn't believe how fascinated he was with numbers. This early passion for mathematics and data analysis laid the foundation for a successful career in financial markets and investment analysis.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Financial Newsletter Publishing
  • Data-Driven Investment Strategies
  • Market Pattern Recognition
Dieter's unique approach combines his natural affinity for numbers with decades of market experience, providing investors with data-driven insights and practical investment strategies.

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