The athletic apparel retailer once celebrated as an industry standout now confronts significant challenges. Lululemon’s credibility is under scrutiny following disappointing financial projections and public condemnation from its founder. With equity value declining more than 60% since January, investors are questioning whether this represents an exaggerated market reaction or the preliminary phase of a more prolonged downturn.
Financial Forecasts Dim
Recent financial revisions tell a concerning story. Management has substantially lowered its full-year 2025 revenue guidance, now anticipating $10.85-$11.00 billion compared to previous expectations of $11.15-$11.30 billion. The adjustment to profit projections was even more severe. This downward revision triggered multiple analyst downgrades across the investment community.
Research firms have responded with significant target price reductions. Stifel Nicolaus slashed its objective from $324 to $205, while Jeffries implemented a more drastic cut to $120. Institutional investors have joined the exodus, with Rheos Capital decreasing its stake by 16.2%. The collective message from market professionals indicates eroding confidence in the company’s growth narrative.
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Founder Launches Public Rebuke
Tensions escalated when founder Chip Wilson publicly characterized the company’s decline as resembling an “airplane crash.” In a paid advertisement featured in the Wall Street Journal, he directly challenged current leadership and accused them of strategic missteps, including the contentious 2020 acquisition of Mirror. Company representatives quickly countered, dismissing Wilson’s statements as “inaccurate and misleading.” This public confrontation emerges at an particularly inopportune moment for the struggling retailer.
International Operations Offer Potential Respite
Despite domestic struggles, Lululemon’s international segments show promising momentum. Markets in China and Europe continue to demonstrate robust expansion, contrasting with weakening performance in North America. The strategic relocation of the China headquarters to Shanghai emphasizes the market’s importance within the company’s global framework. Whether international achievements can offset domestic difficulties remains the critical uncertainty.
The stock currently trades substantially below its key moving averages, hovering near the €140 threshold. For market participants, the fundamental question persists: does Lululemon stand at the verge of a sustainable rebound, or is this merely the initial stage of an extended challenging period? The forthcoming quarterly earnings report will likely provide crucial direction.
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