Kraft Heinz delivered a sobering third-quarter earnings report for 2025, revealing the severe impact of deteriorating consumer sentiment on the packaged food giant. Despite exceeding profit expectations, the company’s shares plummeted 4.5% following disappointing revenue figures and a significant reduction in future guidance. Chief Executive Carlos Abrams-Rivera described the current environment as “one of the worst consumer sentiment backdrops we’ve witnessed in decades,” raising questions about the company’s path to recovery.
Financial Performance Under Pressure
The company’s earnings per share reached $0.61, surpassing analyst projections. However, this positive development was overshadowed by a 2.3% decline in quarterly revenue, which fell to $6.24 billion. This contraction occurred despite Kraft Heinz implementing price increases averaging one percentage point during the period.
The underlying cause proved particularly troubling: consumer purchasing volumes dropped by 3.5 percentage points. This substantial decline indicates that shoppers are either switching to competing brands or reducing purchases altogether when confronted with higher prices. The modest price increases failed to offset the dramatic reduction in volume, highlighting the challenging landscape for consumer staples companies.
Market Analysts Respond to Deteriorating Metrics
Financial institutions quickly adjusted their outlooks following the earnings release. TD Cowen reduced its price target from $28 to $26, while Goldman Sachs trimmed its projection from $30 to $27. Barclays delivered the most pessimistic assessment, slashing its target to just $24 per share.
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Profitability metrics showed significant erosion, compounding concerns about the company’s performance. Adjusted gross margins contracted by 200 basis points to 32.3%, and operating income declined by 16.9%. The combination of rising input and manufacturing expenses with declining sales volumes created what analysts described as a particularly challenging operating environment.
Regional Divergence and Corporate Restructuring
Amid the widespread difficulties, Kraft Heinz reported continued strength in certain international markets. The company achieved double-digit growth across Latin America and Middle Eastern regions, providing some offset to domestic weakness. However, these emerging market gains proved insufficient to counterbalance the substantial challenges in the critical North American market.
On a strategic note, the company confirmed its corporate reorganization remains on schedule. The planned separation into two independent entities is expected to be completed by the second half of 2026. The new structure will create “Global Taste Elevation Co.,” focused on flavor experiences, and “North American Grocery Co.,” dedicated to staple food products across the region.
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