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Home Analysis

Newmont Stock: A Compelling Investment Case Emerges

Dieter Jaworski by Dieter Jaworski
November 6, 2025
in Analysis, Commodities, Earnings, Gold & Precious Metals
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Newmont Mining Stock
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Market analysts are expressing growing enthusiasm for Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM), the world’s largest gold producer. The Colorado-based mining giant has earned Zacks Investment Research’s prestigious “Bull of the Day” designation, with compelling justification behind the honor. For four consecutive quarters, Newmont has dramatically surpassed Wall Street’s earnings expectations, beating estimates by an average of 41.56%. This exceptional performance coincides with gold prices reaching unprecedented levels, approaching the significant $4,000 per ounce threshold. Could the recent stock price adjustment represent a strategic entry opportunity for investors?

Unprecedented Reserves and Strategic Positioning

What truly distinguishes Newmont from its competitors is the sheer scale of its operations. As of year-end 2024, the corporation controlled gold reserves totaling 134 million ounces—approximately 30 million more than its nearest competitor. These substantial reserves are distributed across premium mining operations in Nevada, Peru, Australia, and Ghana.

A particularly noteworthy aspect of Newmont’s strategy is its decision to avoid hedging its gold holdings, unlike many industry peers. This approach transforms the stock into a direct leverage play on gold prices—an advantage that becomes increasingly valuable during periods of record-high pricing. The company’s strategic acquisitions of Goldcorp in 2019 for $10 billion and Newcrest Mining are proving exceptionally well-timed, as both transactions were negotiated when gold prices stood at considerably lower levels.

Record Financial Performance Meets Favorable Market Conditions

The third quarter of 2025 delivered impressive financial results: Newmont reported earnings per share of $1.71, exceeding analyst projections of $1.29 by more than 32%. Even more remarkable was the company’s free cash flow achievement, which reached an all-time high of $1.6 billion—marking the fourth consecutive quarter exceeding $1 billion. This financial strength stems from deliberate operational efficiency: Newmont benefited from a realized gold price of $3,539 per ounce while maintaining all-in sustaining costs of just $1,566.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Newmont Mining?

The gold market itself has experienced approximately 50% growth since the beginning of the year, now testing the $4,000 resistance level. Multiple catalysts are driving this surge:

  • Substantial gold acquisitions by BRICS nations’ central banks, particularly China and India
  • Inflation concerns stemming from potential new tariff policies
  • Sustained interest rate reductions by central banks worldwide
  • Movement away from the U.S. dollar as a primary reserve currency

Growing Analyst Confidence and Technical Recovery

Over the past two months, numerous Wall Street analysts have revised their earnings estimates upward for both 2025 and 2026. From a technical analysis perspective, market observers note that following the explosive price advance from $60 to $98, the stock is now undergoing a consolidation phase. As shares approach the 10-week moving average—historically a level where buyer interest typically resurfaces—the technical picture appears to be stabilizing.

The convergence of operational excellence, unparalleled reserves, and a supportive gold price environment creates potentially explosive conditions for the mining giant. While many investors continue focusing on technology equities, Newmont positions itself as a primary beneficiary of macroeconomic uncertainty—with tangible assets securely stored in its vaults.

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Tags: Newmont Mining
Dieter Jaworski

Dieter Jaworski

About Dieter Jaworski From a numbers-obsessed child to creating his first investment newsletter. Even as a child, Dieter Jaworski's mother couldn't believe how fascinated he was with numbers. This early passion for mathematics and data analysis laid the foundation for a successful career in financial markets and investment analysis.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Financial Newsletter Publishing
  • Data-Driven Investment Strategies
  • Market Pattern Recognition
Dieter's unique approach combines his natural affinity for numbers with decades of market experience, providing investors with data-driven insights and practical investment strategies.

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