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Home Analysis

Nutanix Shares Under Pressure: Can Upcoming Earnings Reverse the Trend?

Dieter Jaworski by Dieter Jaworski
November 16, 2025
in Analysis, Nasdaq, Tech & Software, Trading & Momentum
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The stock of cloud computing specialist Nutanix finds itself locked in a pronounced downward trajectory. As of Friday’s close, the share price stood at $65.91, marking a 0.83% decline for the day. This represented the fourth consecutive daily loss, with the stock having shed a concerning 7.48% of its value over the preceding ten trading sessions.

Insider Selling Raises Eyebrows

A significant red flag for investors has been a wave of insider selling. On October 2, CEO Rajiv Ramaswami disposed of 144,707 shares, a transaction valued at $11.06 million. Following suit, CFO Rukmini Sivaraman sold 11,391 shares for $892,370. Cumulatively, within a 90-day window, company insiders have offloaded holdings worth $12.22 million.

The behavior of institutional investors, however, presents a more complex picture. Allworth Financial LP dramatically increased its stake in the second quarter by an astonishing 2,605.3%. Conversely, KBC Group NV scaled back its investment, reducing its position by 62.6%.

Technical Outlook Appears Bleak

From a chartist’s perspective, the signals are overwhelmingly negative. Multiple moving averages are issuing clear sell indications. Since a notable peak on September 11, 2025, the equity has plummeted by 18.75% in value. A particularly alarming technical consideration is the apparent lack of substantial support levels beneath the current trading price, suggesting any further declines could accelerate unimpeded.

On the upside, the share faces technical resistance at $68.49 and again at $70.14. Given the prevailing market weakness, these thresholds currently appear difficult to surpass.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Nutanix?

Can Quarterly Results Serve as a Catalyst?

All eyes are now on the company’s upcoming earnings report, scheduled for release after the market closes on November 25. These first-quarter 2026 figures are being viewed as a potential turning point. The company’s recent financial performance has been fundamentally strong, which contrasts sharply with its stock performance.

In the fourth quarter of 2025, Nutanix reported revenue of $653.3 million. This represented a 19% year-over-year increase and surpassed analyst forecasts.

Key financial highlights from the recent annual report include:

  • Fiscal 2025 Revenue: $2.54 billion (an 18% increase)
  • Annual Recurring Revenue: $2.22 billion (up 17%)
  • Q4 Operating Margin: 18.3%
  • Fiscal 2025 Free Cash Flow: $750.2 million

Looking ahead, management has provided guidance for the full 2026 fiscal year, projecting revenue between $2.90 and $2.94 billion. Free cash flow is anticipated to land in the range of $790 to $830 million. In a further sign of confidence, the board of directors has authorized a new share repurchase program of $350 million.

The critical question remains whether the impending results can halt the persistent downtrend. The stock’s performance relative to the broader market underscores the challenge; while the S&P 500 has advanced 13.3% year-to-date, Nutanix shares have managed a gain of only 0.9%. For the hybrid-cloud specialist, November 25 is shaping up to be a decisive test.

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Tags: Nutanix
Dieter Jaworski

Dieter Jaworski

About Dieter Jaworski From a numbers-obsessed child to creating his first investment newsletter. Even as a child, Dieter Jaworski's mother couldn't believe how fascinated he was with numbers. This early passion for mathematics and data analysis laid the foundation for a successful career in financial markets and investment analysis.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Financial Newsletter Publishing
  • Data-Driven Investment Strategies
  • Market Pattern Recognition
Dieter's unique approach combines his natural affinity for numbers with decades of market experience, providing investors with data-driven insights and practical investment strategies.

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