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Lockheed Martin Forges New European Defense Alliance

Dieter Jaworski by Dieter Jaworski
November 19, 2025
in Analysis, Defense & Aerospace, Mergers & Acquisitions
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Lockheed Martin is making strategic moves that are capturing market attention. The defense contractor has not only received an earnings forecast upgrade from Seaport Research but has also announced a groundbreaking partnership with Germany’s Diehl Defence. This collaboration marks the first integration of a European missile system into Lockheed’s renowned Aegis combat platform—a development that could significantly reshape the company’s global market position. Investors are watching closely to understand the implications of this European expansion.

Strong Quarterly Performance Boosts Analyst Confidence

The company’s third-quarter 2025 results provided substantial momentum, with revenue climbing 9% to $18.6 billion. Net earnings reached $1.6 billion, translating to $6.95 per share and comfortably surpassing analyst expectations of $6.33 per share.

Notably, Lockheed’s backlog of orders swelled to a record $179 billion. Management demonstrated confidence by raising the quarterly dividend by 5% to $3.45 per share. Recent substantial contracts include a $453.9 million extension for the Mk21A reentry vehicle program, which extends through September 2032.

In response to these results, Seaport Research elevated its full-year 2025 earnings projection to $28.11 per share, up from $27.82 and above the market consensus of $27.15.

Landmark Agreement Expands Global Reach

On November 18, 2025, Lockheed Martin and Diehl Defence formalized a memorandum of understanding focused on integrated air and missile defense systems. The core initiative involves incorporating Diehl’s IRIS-T missile family into Lockheed’s Aegis weapon system and the MK41 and MK70 vertical launching systems.

This partnership carries substantial strategic importance, as IRIS-T would become the first European missile ever integrated into the Aegis framework—a system that has served as the cornerstone of U.S. naval air defense for decades. “This strategic cooperation demonstrates the scalability of our programs to deliver next-generation IAMD capabilities worldwide,” stated Chandra Marshall, a Lockheed Martin Vice President.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Lockheed?

Building on five decades of collaboration with German industry, this arrangement provides Lockheed enhanced access to European defense markets while enabling Diehl Defence to extend its reach to global naval platforms. Helmut Rauch, CEO of Diehl Defence, emphasized that navies worldwide could benefit from optimized air defense systems on surface combat ships.

Divergent Analyst Views Reflect Mixed Outlook

Despite positive developments, analyst sentiment remains divided. The average rating currently stands at “Hold” with a price target of $513.47. Bernstein increased its target to $545 while maintaining a “Market Perform” rating. Morgan Stanley presented a more bullish stance with a $630 target and “Overweight” recommendation, whereas JPMorgan Chase reduced its target from $520 to $465.

These contrasting perspectives highlight the company’s complex position. Lockheed benefits from rising defense expenditures and growing international demand, exemplified by Turkey’s reported interest in acquiring hundreds of fighter jets valued at over $10 billion. Simultaneously, the company faces operational challenges in certain business segments.

Geopolitical Environment Creates Favorable Conditions

The Pentagon’s recent emphasis on expanding missile production capacity to prepare for potential global conflicts positions Lockheed Martin advantageously. The company’s portfolio of hypersonic weapons, the F-35 program, and advanced missile defense systems aligns perfectly with current defense priorities.

The European expansion strategy, which includes enabling missile production through Rheinmetall in Germany, underscores Lockheed’s evolving role as a global supplier of critical weapon systems. Investors await the next quarterly report scheduled for January 27, 2026, which will provide clearer direction on the company’s trajectory and outlook for 2026.

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Dieter Jaworski

Dieter Jaworski

About Dieter Jaworski From a numbers-obsessed child to creating his first investment newsletter. Even as a child, Dieter Jaworski's mother couldn't believe how fascinated he was with numbers. This early passion for mathematics and data analysis laid the foundation for a successful career in financial markets and investment analysis.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Financial Newsletter Publishing
  • Data-Driven Investment Strategies
  • Market Pattern Recognition
Dieter's unique approach combines his natural affinity for numbers with decades of market experience, providing investors with data-driven insights and practical investment strategies.

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