Eutelsat shares concluded a punishing week by falling to fresh lows on Friday, closing at €1.61. This represented a weekly decline of 23%, with the session itself seeing a 5% drop. The severe downturn persists despite significant corporate announcements, overshadowed entirely by the dilutive impact of a recent capital increase.
Capital Raise Casts a Long Shadow
The primary driver of the sell-off remains the recently completed €1.5 billion financing round. Nearly 500 million new shares were issued at a subscription price of €1.35. This discounted price level continues to act as a powerful anchor, stifling any potential for a sustained share price recovery and creating persistent overhang in the market.
Next-Generation Satellite Plans Fail to Impress
In a strategic update on Thursday, Eutelsat OneWeb outlined the roadmap for its second-generation satellite constellation. The plan involves launching 340 Gen-2 satellites by 2027, with a focus on bolstering services for enterprise and government clients. The company has again selected the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO) and SpaceX as launch partners.
However, this news failed to generate any positive momentum within the investment community. Market attention remains fixed on the company’s existing financial structure rather than its future operational strategy.
Analyst Outlook and Shareholder Sentiment
Analyst commentary has provided little support. BNP Paribas recently issued a “Market Performance” rating for the stock, accompanied by a price target of €2.00. While this suggests a theoretical upside of 24%, the analysts concurrently highlighted ongoing operational risks, tempering the bullish implication of the target.
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Sentiment was further damaged in early December by the actions of a major shareholder. SoftBank’s exit, including the sale of subscription rights for approximately 26 million shares, signaled clear skepticism from a key longstanding investor.
Technical and Fundamental Crossroads
From a technical perspective, the stock is deeply oversold, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovering around 22. The immediate focus is whether the €1.50 to €1.60 support zone will hold. A breach of this level in the coming holiday-shortened week could see the share price test the capital increase floor of €1.35.
Fundamentally, the path to regaining investor confidence appears narrow. Eutelsat must announce substantial, concrete contracts for its Gen-2 constellation in a timely manner. Only demonstrable commercial success can potentially outweigh the market’s acute concerns over shareholder dilution. The company also continues to face the formidable sector-wide challenge posed by competitors like Starlink, which already operates thousands of active satellites.
Key Data Points:
* Friday’s Closing Price: €1.61 (-5% for the session)
* Weekly Performance: -23%
* Capital Increase Subscription Price: €1.35
* BNP Paribas Price Target: €2.00
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