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Home AI & Quantum Computing

Palantir Stock Soars to Unprecedented Highs

Dieter Jaworski by Dieter Jaworski
December 26, 2025
in AI & Quantum Computing, Analysis, Nasdaq, Tech & Software, Trading & Momentum
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Palantir Technologies Inc. continues its relentless ascent, shattering previous records and trading near the $195 level. With a market capitalization now hovering around $462 billion, the data analytics firm has firmly exited “secret tip” territory. This sustained rally prompts a closer examination of the drivers behind its extraordinary performance.

Fundamental Strength Justifies Momentum

The recent surge is underpinned by robust financial results that have captured market attention. A deep dive into the latest quarterly figures reveals significant growth across key segments.

  • Revenue Growth: Total revenue for the third quarter jumped 63% year-over-year, reaching $1.18 billion.
  • Commercial Explosion: The U.S. commercial business was a standout, with revenue skyrocketing 121% to $397 million. This acceleration is largely attributed to the rapid adoption of the company’s Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP).
  • Bottom-Line Performance: Perhaps most striking was the leap in profitability. GAAP net income surged 231% to approximately $476 million.

The company’s “AIP Bootcamp” strategy is proving highly effective, converting pilot engagements into substantial multi-million dollar contracts at an impressive pace. This sales model demonstrates a powerful blend of efficiency and scalability.

Technical Picture Points to Continued Bullishness

From a charting perspective, the equity has entered a new phase after a critical breakout. Earlier this week, the share price decisively moved past the psychologically significant $190.39 resistance level. Market technicians note the completion of a classic “cup-with-handle” pattern, which is widely interpreted as a bullish signal indicating the end of a consolidation period.

Further reinforcing this optimistic view is the formation of a “Golden Cross,” where the 21-day moving average has crossed above the 50-day average. This technical event often attracts institutional interest, which has been notably strong recently, adding momentum to the upward move.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Palantir?

Government Contracts Provide a Stable Foundation

While commercial growth accelerates, Palantir’s established public sector business continues to deliver stability. The company recently secured a multi-year contract renewal with France’s domestic intelligence agency, the DGSI. Furthermore, its $448 million “ShipOS” project with the U.S. Navy is already contributing to earnings. This dual-engine approach—combining reliable government demand with dynamic private sector expansion—provides a broad and resilient foundation for the business model.

Valuation Concerns and Insider Activity Present a Counter-Narrative

The remarkable run-up does not come without caveats. The primary concern for many observers is an exceptionally rich valuation. Palantir currently trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of roughly 450. This premium valuation essentially prices in flawless execution for several years, leaving minimal room for any operational missteps or disappointments before 2027.

Adding to the cautious narrative, corporate insiders sold approximately one million shares worth about $165 million in the most recent quarter. This profit-taking activity by company executives contrasts with the concurrent buying from institutional investors, highlighting a divergence in perspective at current price levels.

Looking Ahead

The stock is currently testing the upper bounds of its 52-week range. Whether it can conquer the $200 milestone imminently remains to be seen. While the technical setup appears favorable, the extreme valuation necessitates near-perfect fundamental performance. All eyes will be on the upcoming quarterly reports to determine if Palantir can continue to meet, or exceed, the market’s elevated expectations.

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Tags: Palantir
Dieter Jaworski

Dieter Jaworski

About Dieter Jaworski From a numbers-obsessed child to creating his first investment newsletter. Even as a child, Dieter Jaworski's mother couldn't believe how fascinated he was with numbers. This early passion for mathematics and data analysis laid the foundation for a successful career in financial markets and investment analysis.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Financial Newsletter Publishing
  • Data-Driven Investment Strategies
  • Market Pattern Recognition
Dieter's unique approach combines his natural affinity for numbers with decades of market experience, providing investors with data-driven insights and practical investment strategies.

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