The XRP token finds itself navigating turbulent waters in early February. The current downturn appears less tied to negative developments from Ripple itself and more to the inherent mechanics of cryptocurrency markets. A cascade of liquidations in leveraged positions has amplified a routine pullback into a more pronounced downward wave, revealing a sobering reality: even regulatory progress does not automatically translate into price support for the digital asset.
Liquidation Spiral Accelerates Decline
Market analysis from IG International, dated February 5, identifies forced liquidations in derivatives trading as the primary catalyst for the recent drop. In preceding weeks, speculative long positions had accumulated. Once the price breached key technical support levels, a wave of stop-loss orders was triggered. This initiated a feedback loop where margin calls and subsequent liquidations intensified selling pressure, forcing out further leveraged bets.
This dynamic is characteristic of highly leveraged markets, where such forced selling can drive prices significantly lower than what would be expected from spot market activity alone. The data reflects this pressure: over the past seven days, XRP has shed approximately 30% of its value, trading around $1.26.
Institutional Flows and ETFs Fail to Provide a Floor
Institutional investment flows have also offered little respite. At the start of the year, investment products tied to XRP experienced periods of stagnant inflows and outflows, suggesting selective allocation rather than broad-based conviction.
Key data points highlight this mixed picture:
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying XRP?
- Since the launch of XRP spot ETFs in November 2025, cumulative net inflows reached roughly $1.37 billion by mid-January 2026.
- January, however, saw notable outflows, including a significant redemption day on January 20 totaling $53.32 million and another reported single-day outflow on January 30 exceeding $93 million.
- Concurrently, exchange data indicated increased token inflows to trading platforms—a pattern historically associated with building sell-side pressure.
The absence of aggressive “dip-buying” by large holders during this phase has left the market more vulnerable to downward momentum.
Regulatory Milestone Lacks Direct Price Catalyst
Paradoxically, the period also contained positive news. On February 3, Ripple secured a full Electronic Money Institution (EMI) license from Luxembourg’s financial regulator. This brings Ripple’s global license count to over 75, according to reports.
The market’s tepid reaction underscores a structural disconnect noted by analysts: Ripple’s expansion of licensed payment services does not necessarily generate additional demand for the XRP token. Several of Ripple’s offerings, including payment and treasury solutions, can function without requiring XRP as the settlement asset.
Upcoming Events and Policy Catalysts
Attention now turns to forthcoming events that could influence sentiment:
- February 11: Ripple will host the virtual XRP Community Day 2026, with sessions for EMEA, the Americas, and APAC regions. The agenda includes discussions on regulated financial infrastructure, wrapped XRP, DeFi use cases, and XRPL development. Leadership figures, including CEO Brad Garlinghouse, are scheduled to participate.
- In the United States, market observers continue to monitor the progress of the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act. The bill passed the House of Representatives in July 2025 (294–134), and a Senate vote is anticipated in early 2026. Depending on its final form, this legislative clarity could potentially ease institutional investor access to the asset class.
Until such catalysts materialize, XRP’s trajectory remains heavily dependent on broader market sentiment. Following the liquidation-driven slide, a sustained stabilization will likely require a return of risk appetite across cryptocurrency markets and a measurable reduction in leverage-induced selling pressure.
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