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Analyst Outlook Dims for Exelon Shares

Felix Baarz by Felix Baarz
October 25, 2025
in Analysis, Earnings, Energy & Oil
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Exelon faces mounting pressure from market analysts as downward revisions to earnings forecasts and cautious institutional sentiment weigh on the utility stock. Recent developments have created headwinds for the company’s share performance ahead of its upcoming quarterly report.

Earnings Estimates Adjusted

Financial research firm Zacks Research revised its earnings outlook for Exelon downward last Friday. The firm now anticipates full-year 2025 earnings of $2.65 per share, a slight reduction from its previous projection of $2.67. This updated forecast places Zacks just marginally above the consensus estimate of $2.64 per share among market analysts.

Institutional Skepticism Persists

Morgan Stanley maintained its “Equal-Weight” rating on Exelon shares, signaling continued caution toward the utility company. This positioning reflects the investment bank’s restrained outlook for the stock’s near-term performance.

Market activity reflected this tempered sentiment, with Exelon shares declining 1.06 percent to close at $47.60 on Thursday. The downward trend continued through Friday’s trading session, extending the stock’s recent weakness.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Exelon?

Quarterly Performance Provides Mixed Signals

While Exelon surpassed earnings expectations in the second quarter with $0.39 per share—$0.02 above analyst predictions—the company reported revenue of $5.43 billion that fell short of market expectations. Despite this mixed performance, management reaffirmed their full-year guidance range of $2.64 to $2.74 per share.

Looking further ahead, analysts have established quarterly projections for future periods:
* Q4 2025 Forecast: $0.65 EPS
* Q2 2026 Forecast: $0.43 EPS
* Q3 2026 Forecast: $0.75 EPS

Technical Position and Upcoming Catalyst

Exelon shares are currently trading around their 50-day moving average of $44.89, remaining substantially below the 52-week high of $48.51. The stock’s performance suggests investors are awaiting clearer signals about the company’s ability to meet its annual targets.

All eyes now turn to November 4th, when Exelon will report third-quarter 2025 results. This announcement represents a critical test for the company to demonstrate its capacity to counter the recent downward revisions to earnings projections and restore investor confidence.

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Tags: Exelon
Felix Baarz

Felix Baarz

My name is Felix Baarz, and I look back on over fifteen years of experience as a business journalist. I have always been fascinated by the mechanisms and dynamics of global financial markets as well as the complex economic and political interconnections that shape our world. With this passion, I have made a name for myself as an expert on international financial markets and dedicate myself with great commitment to making even the most complex topics understandable and accessible to my readers. My roots lie in Cologne, where I was born and raised. Early on, my curiosity about economic topics and international developments sparked my interest in journalism. After completing my studies, I began my career as a business editor at a respected German trade publication. Here I laid the foundation for my professional career, but my curiosity soon drew me out into the wider world. A turning point in my life was moving to New York, where I lived for six years and gained insight into leading media houses. In this vibrant metropolis, I was able to report firsthand from the heart of the global financial world. From daily developments on Wall Street to major economic policy decisions that make waves worldwide, I had the opportunity to write about central topics that move people and markets alike. This time shaped my perspective and sharpened my view of global interconnections.

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