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Home Analysis

Barrick Gold Shares Poised for Major Movement Following Dual Catalysts

Andreas Sommer by Andreas Sommer
November 23, 2025
in Analysis, Commodities, Emerging Markets, Gold & Precious Metals
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Barrick Mining Stock
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Investors in Barrick Gold Corporation are facing a potentially explosive start to the trading week, driven by two significant weekend developments. A protracted and concerning geopolitical dispute appears to have been resolved, coinciding with confirmation that one of Wall Street’s most formidable activist investors has taken a major position. This combination of de-risking and fresh strategic ambition is expected to generate substantial momentum when markets open.

Activist Investor Elliott Management Takes a Position

The most strategically compelling news comes from the confirmation of market rumors: Elliott Management, the influential hedge fund led by Paul Singer, has established a significant stake in Barrick. Elliott is renowned for its aggressive approach to unlocking shareholder value, rarely content with passive investment.

Market observers anticipate that Elliott will push for a comprehensive strategic review. This could potentially lead to a separation of Barrick’s massive gold and copper operations. Historically, Elliott’s involvement in the sector has acted as a positive catalyst for share prices, as the market prices in expectations for operational efficiencies and a potential sum-of-the-parts revaluation.

Resolution Reached in Mali Mining Dispute

Simultaneously, a major overhang on the stock has been lifted. Reports confirmed a breakthrough in the tense negotiations with the government of Mali concerning the crucial Loulo-Gounkoto mining complex. Barrick has reportedly agreed in principle to a new arrangement that adheres to the country’s updated, more stringent mining code while crucially retaining operational control of the assets.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Barrick Mining?

This resolution is critical because the uncertainty surrounding the future of these cornerstone operations had been a persistent drag on the share price. The removal of this substantial regulatory threat, which had recently endangered production targets, eliminates a key source of market apprehension.

Favorable Timing Amidst Gold’s Bull Run

These company-specific developments unfold against a powerful backdrop for the gold market. In the third quarter of 2025, the price of gold surged to record levels, averaging over $3,450 per ounce. Despite this robust rally in the underlying commodity, Barrick’s stock performance often lagged, held back primarily by the operational risks in Mali.

This dynamic has created pent-up energy, reflected in the technical chart. While the shares have delivered an impressive year-to-date gain of over 126%, they currently trade at 51.53 CAD, remaining just below the 52-week high of 53.08 CAD. The resolution of the Mali issue, combined with Elliott’s involvement, may now provide the necessary thrust to decisively break through this resistance level.

Conclusion: A Reshuffled Investment Proposition

Barrick Gold enters the new week with a fundamentally altered risk-reward profile. The Mali agreement establishes a firmer operational foundation, while the entry of Elliott Management injects powerful upside potential through strategic change. Investors will be watching Monday’s trading session closely for a high-volume breakout above recent resistance, which could signal the beginning of a comprehensive market re-rating for the mining giant.

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Tags: Barrick Mining
Andreas Sommer

Andreas Sommer

About Andreas Sommer Over 40 years of expertise in market analysis, chart technical analysis, and strategic investment advisory. With more than four decades of experience in banking and financial journalism, Andreas Sommer is recognized as one of the leading analysts in the German-speaking market. His deep understanding of market dynamics and technical analysis has helped countless investors navigate complex financial markets.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Technical Chart Analysis
  • Strategic Investment Advisory
  • Market Trend Analysis
  • Financial Journalism
Andreas brings unparalleled insights from his extensive career in banking and financial markets, making him a trusted voice for investors seeking professional guidance.

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