Early November 2025 presents a critical juncture for the Cardano blockchain platform as its native token ADA struggles to maintain footing around $0.54. Substantial investors are rapidly liquidating their holdings, creating significant downward pressure on the cryptocurrency’s valuation. Concurrently, key network metrics show concerning declines in active addresses and decentralized finance protocol engagement. Amid these challenges, the ecosystem is launching an ambitious technological initiative—the Midnight privacy sidechain—potentially offering a pathway to recovery.
Market Dynamics and Technical Positioning
Cardano’s market performance has deteriorated considerably in recent trading sessions. The breach of the psychologically significant $0.60 support level triggered a descent into the $0.52 to $0.58 trading band, representing an approximately 11.5% weekly decline. Technical analysis reveals that major moving averages on the daily chart now function as resistance barriers, while indicators consistently signal persistent selling momentum.
Compounding these technical weaknesses, trading volume has periodically collapsed by nearly 50%, suggesting many market participants have adopted a wait-and-see approach. Derivatives market data reveals a predominance of short positions, reflecting the prevailing cautious sentiment among traders.
Institutional Exodus and Ecosystem Contraction
The driving force behind ADA’s depreciation appears to be substantial holders reallocating their portfolios. Blockchain analytics indicate that addresses containing between 100,000 and 1,000,000 ADA collectively disposed of more than 4 million tokens within a single week. This redistribution from influential market participants signals eroding confidence and amplifies negative price momentum.
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The Cardano ecosystem demonstrates additional stress points beyond price action. The Total Value Locked across decentralized finance applications has contracted from over $315 million in late August to approximately $246 million presently. Daily active address counts have similarly trended downward, collectively indicating diminished user engagement across the network.
Strategic Countermove: Midnight’s Scavenger Mine Initiative
Against this challenging backdrop, Cardano is deploying innovative technology through its privacy-focused Midnight sidechain. The launch of “Scavenger Mine” initiates phase two of the Glacier Drop program, enabling participants to earn NIGHT tokens by solving computational puzzles. This native currency will power a network leveraging zero-knowledge proofs to enhance privacy for decentralized applications and regulated financial products.
Founder Charles Hoskinson has expressed considerable optimism regarding Midnight’s potential, alongside the forthcoming Leios upgrade designed to substantially improve scalability. These developments target long-term ecosystem expansion by attracting new users and capital inflows. Nevertheless, whether this technological advancement will sufficiently restore investor confidence remains uncertain. Regulatory prospects have also clouded, with analysts growing increasingly skeptical about potential Cardano ETF approval in the United States before 2025 concludes.
The critical threshold for ADA’s stabilization appears to be the $0.50 to $0.52 range, historically a zone where buyer interest has consistently emerged. While near-term pressures dominate the landscape, Cardano’s methodical ecosystem development maintains possibilities for long-term recovery.
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