Newsletter
PPI Shock, $109 Brent, and the Afternoon Powell Has No Good Answers
Dear readers, Yesterday we told you the equity market's composure rested on a bet that demanded near-perfect execution from policymakers,...
The Dip Buyers, the $27 Billion AI Deal, and Powell’s Wednesday Reckoning
Dear readers, On Saturday we closed with a stark observation: Jerome Powell walks into this week's FOMC meeting with no...
From $100 Oil to a 0.7% Economy: The Week the Fed Lost Its Playbook
Dear readers, On Thursday we wrote that the S&P 500's composure rested on a foundation of macroeconomic data that was...
400 Million Barrels, a $100 Handle, and the Market’s Dangerous Calm
Dear readers, Yesterday we wrote that clean February inflation data cannot insulate a central bank from a March energy crisis...
Sixteen Vessels, a $93 Handle, and the Physical Cost of the AI Boom
Dear readers, Yesterday we wrote that the late-session rally bought American markets a reprieve but not clarity—and that clarity would...
Triple Digits, a Late-Session Reversal, and AI’s Quiet Trickle-Down
Dear readers, On Saturday, we closed with a blunt forecast: when futures opened Sunday evening, crude was the only chart...
92,000 Jobs Lost, Drones Over AWS, and the Stagflation Reckoning
Dear readers, On Thursday, we warned that Washington's dual mission—prosecuting a military conflict while stabilizing the energy markets that conflict...
Crude’s $84 Handle, Broadcom’s Hundred-Billion Bet, and the Warsh Wildcard
Dear readers, Yesterday we asked how long Washington could sustain its dual role as warfighter and market stabilizer. Twenty-four hours...
Missiles Over the Gulf, a $110 Billion Media Coronation, and the Monday Nobody Wants
Dear readers, On Friday, we closed with a warning: keep a close eye on the Middle East this weekend. The...
The Pentagon’s AI Ultimatum, Paramount’s $111 Billion Gambit, and Gold’s New Frontier
Dear readers, On Wednesday, we asked whether Jensen Huang's earnings call would validate the thesis that $700 billion in AI...
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