Ecolab’s recent quarterly results have created a divergence in analyst opinions despite narrowly missing earnings expectations. The company reported earnings of $1.89 per share, slightly below the $1.90 forecast, while revenue precisely met projections at $4.02 billion. This minor shortfall prompted BMO Capital to minimally reduce its price target from $309 to $307, maintaining its "Outperform" rating while noting pricing power was "somewhat less robust than hoped." Conversely, Baird upgraded Ecolab from "Neutral" to "Outperform" and substantially increased its price target from $273 to $300, citing accelerating price-driven revenue growth and anticipated margin improvements. Particularly noteworthy is Ecolab’s achievement of its best capital return in nearly a decade, despite the stock trading at its lowest valuation level since 2018 – a paradoxical situation Baird interprets as a buying opportunity.
Growth Trajectory Remains Positive
Analysts maintain optimism about Ecolab’s medium-term prospects despite current challenges. BMO Capital forecasts low to mid-double-digit earnings growth for 2025 followed by another year of double-digit EPS growth in 2026. Stifel reaffirmed its "Buy" recommendation with a $303 price target, highlighting a 150 basis point improvement in adjusted EBIT margin, bringing the company closer to its 20% EBIT margin target by 2027. Currently trading around $259, near its 52-week high of $274, Ecolab has a market capitalization of approximately $74 billion with a P/E ratio of nearly 35.
