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Is Lululemon Stock Mounting a Recovery?

Andreas Sommer by Andreas Sommer
October 23, 2025
in Analysis, Consumer & Luxury, Trading & Momentum, Turnaround
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Lululemon shares staged an impressive rebound in the latest trading session, surging 5.20% to close at $181.39. This significant upward move suggests a potential reversal of fortune for the athletic apparel company, which had previously shed more than 60% from its yearly peaks during an extended downturn.

Earnings Disappointment Sparks Strategic Shift

The recent volatility stems from deeper fundamental concerns. On September 4th, Lululemon’s second-quarter earnings report delivered substantial disappointment to investors. The company revised its annual guidance downward, now projecting earnings per share between $12.77 and $12.97 on revenue of $10.85 to $11.00 billion.

CEO Calvin McDonald openly acknowledged “management errors” during the earnings call, specifically highlighting “underperformance in North America” as a primary concern. He noted the company’s lounge and casual product categories had become “too predictable” in their offerings.

Key challenges facing the company include:
* Reduced profit forecast for fiscal year 2025
* 4% decline in US comparable sales
* $240 million tariff burden anticipated for 2025
* International growth remains robust at 22%

Analyst Community Shows Divided Sentiment

The recent price recovery coincides with shifting perspectives among market analysts. BNP Paribas Exane upgraded its assessment on Monday, moving Lululemon from “Underperform” to “Neutral” with a $146 price target. Meanwhile, BTIG Research reaffirmed its “Buy” recommendation, maintaining a considerably more optimistic $303 price objective.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying lululemon athletica?

However, the analyst landscape reveals notable divergence in opinion. Bernstein downgraded the equity from “Outperform” to “Market Perform,” simultaneously reducing its price target to $190. Among the 26 analysts covering the company, the overall consensus remains cautious, with an average “Hold” rating and mean price expectation of $228.42.

Product Innovation Strategy Takes Center Stage

Can a renewed product offensive catalyze the company’s turnaround efforts? Lululemon is placing substantial emphasis on what it terms “fresh product innovation,” with plans to increase new style offerings to 35% of its assortment by spring 2026. Recently introduced collections including “Loungeful” and “Big Cozy” aim to bridge the gap between performance wear and fashion-forward comfort.

From a technical analysis perspective, indicators suggest the downward momentum may be easing. The Relative Strength Index has recovered from oversold territory, and if share prices maintain support above the $160 level through November, this could signal the formation of a sustainable bottom.

All attention now turns to the upcoming quarterly report scheduled for December 3rd. This next earnings release will serve as the critical test for determining whether the company’s strategic repositioning is gaining traction—or if the recent share price advance represents merely a temporary rally.

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Andreas Sommer

Andreas Sommer

About Andreas Sommer Over 40 years of expertise in market analysis, chart technical analysis, and strategic investment advisory. With more than four decades of experience in banking and financial journalism, Andreas Sommer is recognized as one of the leading analysts in the German-speaking market. His deep understanding of market dynamics and technical analysis has helped countless investors navigate complex financial markets.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Technical Chart Analysis
  • Strategic Investment Advisory
  • Market Trend Analysis
  • Financial Journalism
Andreas brings unparalleled insights from his extensive career in banking and financial markets, making him a trusted voice for investors seeking professional guidance.

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