The stock of semiconductor equipment manufacturer Lam Research continues to break records, propelled by an optimistic industry outlook and a wave of price target upgrades from top-tier analysts. This recent surge finds its catalyst in the robust financial results and substantial capital expenditure plans announced by chipmaking giant Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC).
Financial Performance and Forward Guidance
Lam Research recently reported quarterly earnings that surpassed market expectations. The company posted a profit of $1.26 per share, exceeding the anticipated $1.22. Revenue demonstrated significant year-over-year growth, climbing 27.7% to reach $5.32 billion.
Looking ahead, management’s own forecast for the ongoing second quarter of fiscal 2026 projects earnings per share in a range between $1.05 and $1.25. For the full fiscal year, market experts are anticipating a profit of $3.71 per share. The company is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter results on January 28, 2026, with analysts expecting earnings of approximately $1.17 per share—a potential 29% increase—alongside revenue near $5.23 billion.
Widespread Analyst Optimism Drives Upgrades
The positive sentiment surrounding the sector has triggered a series of substantial price target increases for Lam Research from leading financial institutions:
- Wells Fargo upgraded the stock from “Hold” to “Strong Buy,” raising its target from $145 to $250.
- Royal Bank of Canada initiated coverage with a “Moderate Buy” rating and a $260 target.
- Stifel Nicolaus increased its target to $250, maintaining a “Buy” recommendation.
- Bank of America lifted its price objective to $245.
- Cantor Fitzgerald reaffirmed an “Overweight” rating on January 8 with a $265 target.
The current consensus among analysts stands at “Moderate Buy,” with the average price target reflecting significantly heightened expectations for the company’s future performance.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Lam Research?
Sector-Wide Momentum Fueled by Key Client
The entire Wafer Fabrication Equipment (WFE) sector is experiencing strong demand tailwinds, particularly from the artificial intelligence and high-performance computing segments. Analysts at Stifel Nicolaus project WFE spending growth of 10 to 15 percent for 2026.
A primary driver is the recent performance of TSMC. The Taiwanese foundry reported a 25.5% year-over-year revenue increase for its fourth quarter and unveiled ambitious capital expenditure plans for 2026, targeting $52 to $56 billion. This signals sustained, robust demand for advanced chips, which translates directly into orders for equipment suppliers like Lam Research. Within the advanced logic device segment, growth of roughly 30% is anticipated for 2026.
Record Pricing Amid Contrasting Investor Activity
Lam Research equity reached a new 52-week high of $229.57 on Thursday, January 15. The following Friday, shares climbed more than 6% on the back of the TSMC news, ascending to a fresh all-time peak. The stock has posted considerable gains since the start of the year.
This rally has occurred alongside notable insider selling activity. Over the past three months, company executives sold a total of 50,418 shares valued at approximately $7.67 million. The Chief Financial Officer reduced his holdings by 3.90%. This selling contrasts with increased institutional interest, exemplified by a significant position buildup by Stephens Inc. AR during the third quarter.
A potential headwind for continued growth remains the Chinese market. The company anticipates that its revenue share from China will fall below 30% in 2026 due to persistent export restrictions.
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