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Home Analysis

Leonardo Stock Soars on Dual Tailwinds from Major Contract and Sector Momentum

Dieter Jaworski by Dieter Jaworski
September 25, 2025
in Analysis, Cyber Security, Defense & Aerospace, European Markets
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Leonardo shares experienced significant upward momentum on Wednesday, propelled by two distinct catalysts: a substantial new cybersecurity contract and broader political developments that boosted the entire defense sector. The Italian defense and technology conglomerate found itself at the center of positive investor sentiment, raising questions about the sustainability of this rally.

Geopolitical Climate Fuels Defense Sector Rally

Beyond company-specific news, the defense industry received a boost from the international political arena. Remarks from former US President Donald Trump, which endorsed the full recapture of Ukrainian territories, were interpreted by the market as an indicator of sustained high defense spending across Europe. This sentiment triggered a noticeable advance in the STOXX Europe Aerospace & Defense Index, lifting Leonardo’s shares in tandem. The stock emerged as a clear winner for the day, even as Italy’s benchmark FTSE MIB index experienced a slight decline.

Strategic Victory with Multi-Million Euro EU Cybersecurity Deal

The immediate catalyst for the share price surge was the announcement of a major framework agreement secured with the European Commission. A consortium, led by French IT services provider Atos and featuring Leonardo as a key partner, won the bid to provide cybersecurity services in a deal valued at up to 326 million euros. Over the next four years, the group will deliver Incident Response, Threat Intelligence, and Offensive Security capabilities to EU institutions. This prestigious award not only highlights Leonardo’s expanding expertise in the highly profitable cybersecurity market but also solidifies its role as a strategic partner for major institutional clients.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Leonardo?

Assessing the Rally’s Staying Power

The convergence of strong fundamental news and widespread sector strength has positioned Leonardo’s stock at a technically interesting level. Following the powerful upward move, the shares are approaching significant resistance zones. The elevated trading volumes observed suggest sustained investor interest.

The central question for market participants is whether the stock can continue its ascent based on its own merits or if a period of consolidation is due. The substantial EU contract undoubtedly provides a solid foundation for optimistic forecasts. Furthermore, the persistently tense geopolitical landscape is expected to continue serving as a tailwind for the defense sector as a whole.

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Dieter Jaworski

Dieter Jaworski

About Dieter Jaworski From a numbers-obsessed child to creating his first investment newsletter. Even as a child, Dieter Jaworski's mother couldn't believe how fascinated he was with numbers. This early passion for mathematics and data analysis laid the foundation for a successful career in financial markets and investment analysis.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Financial Newsletter Publishing
  • Data-Driven Investment Strategies
  • Market Pattern Recognition
Dieter's unique approach combines his natural affinity for numbers with decades of market experience, providing investors with data-driven insights and practical investment strategies.

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