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Home Analysis

Market Puzzled as Rheinmetall Shares Slide Despite Bullish Analyst Backing

Andreas Sommer by Andreas Sommer
October 8, 2025
in Analysis, DAX, Defense & Aerospace, Market Commentary
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In a surprising market development, Rheinmetall shares experienced a sharp decline of nearly four percent, even as prominent financial institutions reaffirmed their positive outlook on the defense contractor. This contradictory movement occurred despite Goldman Sachs maintaining its “Buy” recommendation and JPMorgan confirming its “Overweight” rating simultaneously.

Widespread Analyst Support Fails to Prevent Sell-Off

The divergence between analyst sentiment and market performance created a notable disconnect. Four separate research houses issued supportive statements on the same day, all conveying the same essential message: investors should purchase Rheinmetall stock.

Beyond the bullish stance from banking giants Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan, additional firms including Jefferies and mwb research joined the consensus of optimism. Their collective reasoning highlighted several key factors:

• Expectations for a strong final quarter showing significant improvement
• Order books filled to capacity amid global defense spending increases
• Sustained long-term growth potential remaining intact
• An attractive entry point following third-quarter weakness

Market participants, however, responded contrarily. Instead of rallying on the positive commentary, investors drove the stock downward, making it one of the poorest performers in Germany’s DAX index for the trading session.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Rheinmetall?

Profit-Taking Emerges Following Spectacular Gains

The explanation for this counterintuitive price action may lie in the stock’s extraordinary performance trajectory. Having accumulated gains exceeding 270 percent over the previous twelve months, many shareholders found themselves sitting on substantial profits. At such elevated valuation levels, even minor uncertainties can trigger selling pressure as investors lock in returns.

Heightening this nervousness is the approaching November 6 earnings release. Despite reassurances from market experts, questions persist about the actual severity of the third-quarter slowdown and whether it might indicate broader concerns.

Critical Events Loom for Future Direction

Two upcoming events are poised to determine Rheinmetall’s near-term price direction. The November quarterly report will provide crucial data, but potentially more significant is the capital markets day scheduled for November 18. During this event, company leadership plans to offer comprehensive details about their strategic vision—presenting a critical opportunity to win over skeptical market participants.

From a technical analysis perspective, the equity faces important tests of support levels. Having fallen below its 20-day moving average, the stock may approach additional technical support zones. The fundamental question remains unanswered: does this decline represent the beginning of a meaningful correction or merely a temporary pause before the next upward movement?

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Tags: Rheinmetall
Andreas Sommer

Andreas Sommer

About Andreas Sommer Over 40 years of expertise in market analysis, chart technical analysis, and strategic investment advisory. With more than four decades of experience in banking and financial journalism, Andreas Sommer is recognized as one of the leading analysts in the German-speaking market. His deep understanding of market dynamics and technical analysis has helped countless investors navigate complex financial markets.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Technical Chart Analysis
  • Strategic Investment Advisory
  • Market Trend Analysis
  • Financial Journalism
Andreas brings unparalleled insights from his extensive career in banking and financial markets, making him a trusted voice for investors seeking professional guidance.

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