After navigating a period of market turbulence, Micron Technology is now capturing attention for a powerful reason: an overwhelming scarcity of its core products. The company’s memory chips are in such high demand that supply is effectively spoken for through the end of 2026. This development has market experts questioning whether a new “super-cycle” is beginning, one that could propel the stock to new heights despite its recent corrective phase.
Supply Crunch Creates Unparalleled Visibility
The catalyst for this renewed optimism stems from significant updates issued by major financial institutions. The central takeaway is that Micron’s High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), a critical component for advanced artificial intelligence applications, is completely sold out through the 2026 calendar year. This intense demand is forcing analysts to fundamentally reconsider their valuation models for the company.
In a swift response, Morgan Stanley elevated its price target to a new “Street-high” of $338, suggesting substantial upside from current trading levels. UBS followed suit, raising its own target to $275 and confirming the exceptional clarity in Micron’s order books for the next two years.
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Pricing Power Accelerates Across Product Lines
Beyond the sold-out HBM, a powerful “crowding-out effect” is creating a compelling investment case. As Micron shifts its manufacturing capacity heavily toward these complex HBM chips, the supply of conventional DRAM memory is tightening dramatically. The result is pricing power rarely seen in the industry:
- Secured Production: With HBM production committed for years, demand-side uncertainty has been virtually eliminated.
- DDR5 Surge: Prices for standard memory products are climbing by nearly 20% quarter-over-quarter.
- Mobile Momentum: The mobile sector is witnessing even steeper price increases, approaching almost 40% compared to the prior quarter.
A Rebuttal to Bearish Sentiment
This flood of positive news arrives at a critical juncture. Following a recent sell-off in the wake of Nvidia’s earnings, many investors feared the AI boom was losing steam. Micron shares declined approximately 3.7% over the week, but the latest insights powerfully refute the bearish narrative. The build-out of global AI infrastructure is still in its early stages, and the constrained supply environment prevents the kind of price collapse witnessed in previous industry cycles.
The market now looks ahead to December 17th, when Micron is scheduled to report its quarterly results. Having delivered a year-to-date performance exceeding 120%, the stock remains a standout leader in its sector. The consensus among analysts is clear: as long as HBM supply remains tight, the path of least resistance for the share price is upward.
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