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Home Market Commentary

Nasdaq 100 Set for a Subdued Year-End Finish

Felix Baarz by Felix Baarz
December 31, 2025
in Market Commentary, Nasdaq, Tech & Software
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As 2025 draws to a close, the Nasdaq 100 is consolidating its substantial gains. The index, which has rallied more than 21 percent this year, lacked fresh catalysts on the final trading day. Holiday-thinned trading volumes continue to dominate market activity as investors position their portfolios for the new year.

Technical Picture Holds Steady

From a technical perspective, the index is trading within a narrow band. Support is holding at the 25,369 level, while resistance sits at 25,835 points. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in a neutral zone around 50-55, reflecting the current absence of strong directional momentum. A positive signal is that the long-term uptrend structure remains intact, with the index holding above its key moving averages.

Mixed Performance Among Major Tech Stocks

The latest trading session revealed diverging fortunes for the index’s heavyweight constituents. Meta Platforms gained 1.1 percent following its acquisition of the AI startup Manus for $2 billion. Conversely, Tesla shares came under pressure, declining 1.2 percent amid growing concerns over potentially weaker delivery figures for the fourth quarter.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying NASDAQ 100?

Intel was a notable advancer, climbing 1.7 percent after confirming a strategic stake sale to Nvidia. Nvidia itself saw a slight pullback, consolidating after its recent strong performance.

Final Trading Day Outlook

Market participants anticipate a quiet yet potentially volatile environment for today’s year-end session. The prevailing low liquidity could spark sporadic, surprising price swings, especially if portfolio managers execute last-minute adjustments before the closing bell. U.S. equity markets will operate on a regular schedule, closing at 4:00 p.m. local time, while the bond market concludes trading earlier at 2:00 p.m.

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Tags: NASDAQ 100
Felix Baarz

Felix Baarz

My name is Felix Baarz, and I look back on over fifteen years of experience as a business journalist. I have always been fascinated by the mechanisms and dynamics of global financial markets as well as the complex economic and political interconnections that shape our world. With this passion, I have made a name for myself as an expert on international financial markets and dedicate myself with great commitment to making even the most complex topics understandable and accessible to my readers. My roots lie in Cologne, where I was born and raised. Early on, my curiosity about economic topics and international developments sparked my interest in journalism. After completing my studies, I began my career as a business editor at a respected German trade publication. Here I laid the foundation for my professional career, but my curiosity soon drew me out into the wider world. A turning point in my life was moving to New York, where I lived for six years and gained insight into leading media houses. In this vibrant metropolis, I was able to report firsthand from the heart of the global financial world. From daily developments on Wall Street to major economic policy decisions that make waves worldwide, I had the opportunity to write about central topics that move people and markets alike. This time shaped my perspective and sharpened my view of global interconnections.

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