A palpable sense of anticipation is building on Wall Street. Nio shares experienced an uptick on Monday as investors positioned themselves ahead of the company’s quarterly earnings release. The central question preoccupying the market is whether recent delivery milestones genuinely justify this optimism, or if tomorrow’s report will reveal disappointing margins, leading to a sharp market correction.
Operational Momentum Fuels Confidence
The foundation for the current bullish sentiment lies in Nio’s recent operational performance. The electric vehicle manufacturer reported a dramatic surge in October deliveries, which skyrocketed by nearly 93 percent to exceed 40,000 vehicles. This impressive growth is largely attributed to a strategic pivot towards a broader market approach:
- Onvo’s Consistent Performance: The Onvo sub-brand’s L90 model has consistently demonstrated strong demand, achieving delivery figures above 10,000 units for three consecutive months.
- Firefly’s Contribution: The new entry-level brand, Firefly, is already making a significant impact, contributing close to 6,000 units to the total delivery count.
- European Expansion: The Firefly model is scheduled to launch in the UK market in 2026, marking a key step in the company’s international growth strategy.
The Crucial Profitability Test
All eyes are now on tomorrow’s pre-market announcement, which represents a critical test for the automaker. While the market widely anticipates robust growth, with projections pointing to a year-over-year revenue increase to $3.12 billion, the focus for long-term shareholders remains squarely on profitability. Market researchers forecast that the loss per share will narrow to $0.22. The decisive factor will be Nio’s ability to demonstrate that its increased production volume is finally translating into improved vehicle margins.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Nio?
Wall Street Takes Notice
This operational strength has not gone unnoticed by financial institutions. Goldman Sachs has responded to the positive data by raising its price target for Nio to $7.00. This revised target suggests a substantial upside potential of approximately 25 percent from current trading levels. Although the firm maintained its “Neutral” rating on the stock, the adjustment reflects a growing belief that the company’s new product cycle is gaining traction.
However, the intense price competition within China’s EV sector remains a significant challenge. Rivals such as XPeng continue to exert pressure, which weighs on profitability across the entire industry. Investors are currently betting that Nio can successfully balance the high-volume, mass-market approach of its Onvo brand with the premium pricing of its core marque. Whether this strategic balancing act is paying off will become clear when the financial results are released on Tuesday.
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