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PayPal Shares Face Mounting Institutional Pressure

Robert Sasse by Robert Sasse
October 12, 2025
in Analysis, E-Commerce, Nasdaq, Tech & Software
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A significant shift is occurring within PayPal’s investor base as major financial institutions substantially reduce their exposure to the digital payments company. This institutional retreat comes despite conflicting analyst opinions and stronger-than-expected quarterly performance, creating a complex investment landscape for the fintech pioneer.

Divergent Analyst Views Create Uncertainty

Market experts remain deeply divided on PayPal’s investment prospects. Current analyst ratings present a fragmented picture: seventeen professionals advocate purchasing shares, fourteen recommend maintaining current positions, and two advise selling. This division results in a neutral consensus recommendation, with an average price target standing at $84.66.

Among these varied voices, Morgan Stanley maintains a more optimistic stance, recently reaffirming its positive assessment of the company’s stock. However, this bullish perspective remains overshadowed by the broader uncertainty prevailing among financial researchers.

Major Investors Scale Back Holdings

The institutional exodus from PayPal positions is demonstrating remarkable momentum. Kingswood Wealth Advisors LLC executed one of the most dramatic reductions, slashing its PayPal holdings by 65.2% during the second quarter. The firm disposed of 7,729 shares, leaving just 4,132 positions in its portfolio.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying PayPal?

This substantial divestment reflects a broader trend among institutional investors, though not universal. Countering this movement, firms like Thompson Investment Management have actually increased their stakes in the company. Overall, hedge funds and institutional investors still control 68.32% of PayPal’s outstanding shares, indicating significant remaining institutional commitment despite the recent selling pressure.

Strong Fundamentals Contrast With Weak Performance

PayPal’s recent financial results, reported on July 29, presented a fundamentally strong picture that seemingly contradicts the stock’s market performance. The company delivered earnings of $1.40 per share, comfortably surpassing the $1.30 per share consensus estimate. Revenue performance similarly exceeded expectations, reaching $8.29 billion against projections of $8.08 billion.

Looking forward, management guidance remains optimistic. For the full year, PayPal anticipates earnings between $5.15 and $5.30 per share. The third quarter is projected to deliver $1.18 to $1.22 per share.

Despite these robust operational metrics, the stock continues to struggle. Current trading levels position the shares much closer to their 52-week low of $55.85 than the yearly peak of $93.66. Particularly concerning for technical analysts is the stock’s position below its 200-day moving average of $69.42—a bearish signal that frequently triggers investor apprehension.

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Tags: PayPal
Robert Sasse

Robert Sasse

About Dr. Robert Sasse Accomplished economist, entrepreneur, and profound expert in financial markets. Dr. Robert Sasse holds a doctorate in economics and combines academic rigor with practical entrepreneurial experience. His deep expertise in economic relationships and unwavering conviction for a free-market liberal economic order drives his mission to provide investors with well-founded knowledge and guidance.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Economic Theory and Practice
  • Free-Market Economics
  • Entrepreneurship and Business Strategy
  • Investment Philosophy
Dr. Sasse's unique combination of academic knowledge and real-world business experience enables him to provide investors with comprehensive insights that bridge theory and practice.

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