Plymouth Industrial REIT’s stock has experienced remarkable momentum, climbing approximately 47% over a two-week period. This powerful rally, which included a fourth consecutive day of gains on Friday, was fueled by a combination of an unsolicited takeover bid and the company’s robust quarterly earnings report. Shares closed at $22.00, edging up by $0.09 in the latest session.
Strong Quarterly Performance Provides Foundation
The real estate investment trust laid a solid groundwork for this investor enthusiasm with its second-quarter results, released on August 6. While the company reported a net loss of $0.14 per share, several key operational metrics demonstrated underlying strength:
- Same-Store NOI Growth: Increased by 6.7% on a GAAP basis
- Leasing Activity: 5.9 million square feet pre-leased for 2025, with rental rates on new leases jumping 13.6%
- Occupancy Rate: Remained high at 94.6%
- Strategic Acquisitions: Added 21 industrial properties in Ohio and a single-tenant building in Atlanta, totaling $204.7 million in investments
- Funds from Operations: Core FFO stood at $0.46 per share, with AFFO at $0.44 per share
The company also reaffirmed its Core FFO guidance for the full year 2025.
Unsolicited Bid from Sixth Street Partners
The primary catalyst for the recent surge occurred on August 19, when Sixth Street Partners presented a non-binding acquisition proposal. The investment firm, which already holds a 9.99% stake in Plymouth Industrial REIT, offered to purchase all outstanding shares for $24.10 per share in cash. This price represented a significant premium to the trading level at the time and ignited the substantial upward move in the stock.
Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Plymouth Industrial Reit?
Plymouth Industrial REIT’s Board of Directors has confirmed it is reviewing the unexpected offer. The board is engaging with its independent financial and legal advisors to evaluate the proposal, with its forthcoming decision being pivotal for shareholders.
Analyst Sentiment and Market Pricing
Market experts maintain a cautiously optimistic yet divided stance on the stock. BMO Capital Markets revised its price target upward to $24.00 from $17.00 on August 26. However, the consensus among ten analysts remains a “Hold” rating with an average price target of $20.67, which would still place the current share price at a premium. Price targets among analysts vary widely, from a low of $17.00 to a high of $27.00.
The current market price of $22.00 remains below Sixth Street’s offer of $24.10. This trading discount indicates that the market is pricing in some uncertainty regarding the deal’s completion. All attention is now focused on the board’s decision, which will determine the stock’s near-term trajectory.
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