The precious metals market is demonstrating remarkable strength, with gold extending its impressive winning streak into an eighth consecutive week. Currently trading at $3,993 after gaining 2.7% this week, the yellow metal has consistently held above the psychologically significant $4,000 threshold. This sustained upward movement highlights gold’s resilience amid ongoing market uncertainties. Earlier in the week, the asset reached a fresh record peak of $4,059 per ounce, reinforcing its status as the ultimate safe-haven investment.
Silver Outperforms with Explosive Gains
Silver has delivered even more spectacular performance, achieving a historic milestone of $51.22 per ounce on Thursday before settling at $50.95. This represents an extraordinary 76% increase year-to-date, far outpacing many other asset classes.
Market experts point to several structural factors driving silver’s exceptional rally:
• Significant backwardation in market structure
• Elevated lease rates throughout the sector
• Diminished liquidity within London’s OTC trading environment
• Persistent supply deficits affecting availability
Hugo Pascal, a precious metals trader at InProved, cautions that “given the combination of rising lease rates and limited liquidity, investors should prepare for increased volatility in silver markets.”
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Federal Reserve Policy Bolsters Metals Momentum
Monetary policy from the U.S. Federal Reserve has emerged as a crucial catalyst for both precious metals. Recent minutes from the September meeting revealed that Fed officials consider labor market risks sufficiently elevated to warrant additional interest rate reductions.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, market participants are pricing in a 94% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in October, with a 79% chance of further easing in December. Concurrent dollar weakness has added to the upward pressure on metals, with the U.S. Dollar Index declining by 0.3%.
Institutional Demand Reaches Unprecedented Levels
The precious metals rally continues to demonstrate fundamental strength, as evidenced by its resilience to geopolitical developments. Even Friday’s ratification of a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas failed to disrupt gold’s upward trajectory, indicating that the movement is driven by deeper market forces rather than temporary risk aversion.
“Gold is transitioning into an offensive asset class, establishing itself as the primary alternative to the U.S. dollar,” observes Alex Ebkarian, COO at Allegiance Gold. Multiple factors are converging to push institutional demand to record levels, including substantial central bank acquisitions, robust ETF inflows, and ongoing trade-related uncertainties.
Market researchers anticipate that gold has entered a secular bull market that could persist for the next five years. The combination of structural transformations within the global financial system is expected to continue supporting precious metal demand across institutional and retail investment segments.
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