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Semiconductor Stock AXT Breaks Key Technical Barrier

Dieter Jaworski by Dieter Jaworski
September 10, 2025
in Analysis, Semiconductors, Trading & Momentum
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AXT Inc. shares delivered a notable technical signal during Thursday’s trading session, surpassing their 200-day moving average in a move that technical analysts often interpret as a potential trend reversal indicator. The semiconductor company’s stock reached an intraday high of $3.29, marking a significant breakthrough.

Technical Momentum Builds

The stock opened Thursday’s session at $3.1507, representing a gain of 1.31 percent, before pushing through the key technical barrier at $1.84. Market technicians consider a decisive break above the 200-day moving average as an important momentum signal that frequently precedes sustained upward movement.

This technical development receives additional support from the analytical community. Multiple research firms maintain their positive recommendations on the security, with several continuing to assign “Strong Buy” or “Buy” ratings.

Fundamental Pressures and Emerging Opportunities

Despite operating in a challenging environment, AXT has demonstrated notable resilience. The company faced headwinds from Chinese government export restrictions on gallium arsenide and indium phosphide, which created licensing delays and softened demand throughout the industry.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying AXT?

Recent developments, however, suggest improving conditions. In June, AXT reported receiving its first export licenses for indium phosphide while simultaneously benefiting from growing artificial intelligence-related demand from Chinese markets. The company posted second-quarter revenue of $18.0 million with an adjusted loss per share of $0.15.

Analytical Outlook Remains Positive

Market experts see substantial upside potential for AXT shares. The average price target of $4.60 indicates significant appreciation opportunity from current trading levels. Within the past 90 days, research firms including B. Riley and Wedbush have reaffirmed their positive assessments of the company’s prospects.

The critical question remains whether AXT can convert this technical signal into sustained price appreciation. The coming weeks will prove decisive, particularly with the company’s quarterly earnings report scheduled for October 30. Investors currently anticipate an adjusted quarterly loss of $0.14 per share.

Strategic Positioning for Growth

AXT’s strategic focus on margin improvement and the expanding demand for non-silicon substrates in AI applications could emerge as crucial growth drivers. The technical confirmation above the 200-day moving average now provides additional confidence for investors with longer-term horizons, suggesting potential stability in the current upward movement.

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Tags: AXT
Dieter Jaworski

Dieter Jaworski

About Dieter Jaworski From a numbers-obsessed child to creating his first investment newsletter. Even as a child, Dieter Jaworski's mother couldn't believe how fascinated he was with numbers. This early passion for mathematics and data analysis laid the foundation for a successful career in financial markets and investment analysis.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Quantitative Analysis
  • Financial Newsletter Publishing
  • Data-Driven Investment Strategies
  • Market Pattern Recognition
Dieter's unique approach combines his natural affinity for numbers with decades of market experience, providing investors with data-driven insights and practical investment strategies.

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