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Wolfspeed Shares Stabilize as Market Weighs Strategic Toyota Partnership

Andreas Sommer by Andreas Sommer
December 26, 2025
in Analysis, Automotive & E-Mobility, Semiconductors, Turnaround
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Following the holiday period, Wolfspeed’s stock has found relative stability just below the $19 mark. The primary focus for investors remains the recently announced major supply agreement with Toyota Motor Corporation, a deal viewed as critical for the company’s strategic direction following its financial restructuring. After a volatile December, the equity is attempting to establish a reliable support level.

  • The share price is currently trading around $18.40.
  • The Toyota partnership forms a central pillar of the company’s investment narrative.
  • During December, the stock faced pressure, declining approximately 17%.
  • The balance sheet is significantly less leveraged following the completion of Chapter 11 proceedings.

Financial Restructuring Provides Foundation, But Confidence Remains Delicate

Wolfspeed is navigating a sensitive stabilization phase after a comprehensive financial reorganization. The company concluded its Chapter 11 process on September 30, achieving a reduction of its total debt by roughly 70% and extending maturities out to 2030.

While the enhanced liquidity has substantially strengthened the balance sheet, the share price has struggled to gain momentum in the fourth quarter. For the current month, the decline sits near 17%, moving from an opening level of $22.11 in early December to recent lows around $18.43. This corrective action reflects a cautious market stance; investors now demand clear evidence that the operational turnaround will translate into improved cash flow margins.

Toyota Agreement Marks a Key Technological Validation

The collaboration with Toyota represents a significant commercial milestone in Wolfspeed’s transition to its 200-millimeter wafer platform. Under the agreement, announced in early December, Toyota selected Wolfspeed’s automotive silicon carbide MOSFETs for the onboard charging systems in its future battery-electric vehicle platforms.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Wolfspeed?

For shareholders, this decision serves as a crucial stress test of the company’s technological capabilities post-restructuring. The integration of these components into a high-volume manufacturing platform by a global automaker like Toyota supports the perception that the quality and reliability of the SiC technology produced at Mohawk Valley meet the stringent requirements of the automotive industry.

Despite the partnership’s strategic importance, the immediate market reaction has been subdued. Since the deal was publicized on December 9, the shares have experienced consistent selling pressure, highlighting persistent investor concerns regarding the pace of the anticipated future revenue ramp.

Market Attention Shifts to Fiscal 2026 Guidance

In the coming weeks, market attention is likely to increasingly turn toward Wolfspeed’s upcoming Q2 report for fiscal year 2026, expected in late January or early February. Analysts will scrutinize this release for details on the production ramp with Toyota and its expected contribution to near-term revenue.

From a technical perspective, the stock is currently testing a key support zone near $18. A period of stable consolidation above this level, reinforced by tangible progress in executing the Toyota partnership, could signal that much of the post-restructuring uncertainty is already reflected in the share price. Conversely, a sustained break below this support would potentially open the door for a retest of the lows seen following the bankruptcy process.

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Tags: Wolfspeed
Andreas Sommer

Andreas Sommer

About Andreas Sommer Over 40 years of expertise in market analysis, chart technical analysis, and strategic investment advisory. With more than four decades of experience in banking and financial journalism, Andreas Sommer is recognized as one of the leading analysts in the German-speaking market. His deep understanding of market dynamics and technical analysis has helped countless investors navigate complex financial markets.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Technical Chart Analysis
  • Strategic Investment Advisory
  • Market Trend Analysis
  • Financial Journalism
Andreas brings unparalleled insights from his extensive career in banking and financial markets, making him a trusted voice for investors seeking professional guidance.

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