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Home AI & Quantum Computing

Dell Shares Tumble Following Analyst Downgrade

Robert Sasse by Robert Sasse
November 20, 2025
in AI & Quantum Computing, Analysis, Tech & Software
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Investors in Dell Technologies faced a significant setback as the company’s stock price declined sharply this week. The downturn was triggered by a substantial rating downgrade from financial services firm Morgan Stanley, which has raised questions about the technology manufacturer’s growth trajectory and its ambitious artificial intelligence initiatives.

Wall Street Divided on Tech Giant’s Prospects

The investment community appears deeply split on Dell’s outlook. While Morgan Stanley took a decidedly bearish stance, other major financial institutions maintain optimistic positions. JPMorgan Chase actually increased its price target to $170 while reaffirming its “Overweight” rating. Similarly, Evercore ISI projects the stock could reach $180 per share.

This stark divergence of opinion highlights the ongoing debate among market experts regarding Dell’s ability to navigate current challenges while capitalizing on emerging opportunities in the artificial intelligence sector.

Morgan Stanley’s Pessimistic Assessment

Morgan Stanley executed a dramatic reversal in its evaluation of Dell, implementing a dual downgrade from “Overweight” to “Underweight.” Even more consequential was the firm’s decision to slash its price target from $144 to $110 per share.

According to the analysts’ assessment, rising memory component expenses will substantially compress profit margins for the hardware manufacturer. Their projections indicate a margin contraction of 150 to 220 basis points for fiscal year 2027. Consequently, earnings per share forecasts have been reduced by approximately 12 percent.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Dell?

The research specifically highlighted challenges in Dell’s memory-intensive hardware divisions, which are expected to face pressure from increased DRAM and NAND costs over the coming 12 to 18 months.

Strategic Focus on Artificial Intelligence

Despite these immediate concerns, Dell continues to advance its artificial intelligence strategy without deviation. The company is strengthening its collaboration with NVIDIA while expanding its “AI Factory” product offerings.

The organization’s ambitious targets appear substantial, with expectations for AI server revenue to exceed $20 billion by 2026. This projection is supported by a considerable order backlog valued at $11.7 billion.

The critical question facing investors is whether this aggressive push into artificial intelligence can sufficiently offset the margin compression resulting from higher memory costs. Market participants may receive preliminary answers when Dell discloses quarterly results on November 25, though investor anxiety will likely persist until then.

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Robert Sasse

Robert Sasse

About Dr. Robert Sasse Accomplished economist, entrepreneur, and profound expert in financial markets. Dr. Robert Sasse holds a doctorate in economics and combines academic rigor with practical entrepreneurial experience. His deep expertise in economic relationships and unwavering conviction for a free-market liberal economic order drives his mission to provide investors with well-founded knowledge and guidance.
Areas of Expertise:
  • Economic Theory and Practice
  • Free-Market Economics
  • Entrepreneurship and Business Strategy
  • Investment Philosophy
Dr. Sasse's unique combination of academic knowledge and real-world business experience enables him to provide investors with comprehensive insights that bridge theory and practice.

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