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Home AI & Quantum Computing

The Robot Revolution Is Micron’s Next Act After AI Memory Dominance

Rodolfo Hanigan by Rodolfo Hanigan
April 23, 2026
in AI & Quantum Computing, Analysis, Semiconductors, Tech & Software
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Micron’s stock has been on a tear, but the narrative driving it is shifting. While the company’s high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips are the immediate catalyst—fueled by insatiable demand from data centers running artificial intelligence workloads—the longer-term thesis now extends well beyond the server room. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra is framing the next phase as a 20-year growth cycle powered by robotics, a vision that analysts at Morgan Stanley back with a forecast of nearly one billion robots deployed globally by 2050. Each one of those machines needs memory, and Micron intends to supply it.

The numbers from the second quarter of fiscal 2026 already tell a story of explosive momentum. Revenue surged 196% to $23.86 billion, while earnings per share landed at $12.20—almost 39% above analyst expectations. It marked the fourth consecutive record quarter, with gross margins climbing to 75%. For the current quarter, Micron expects revenue of $33.5 billion, a figure that roughly matches the company’s entire annual revenue from just a year ago.

Yet the most striking part of the equation is how cheap the stock remains relative to that growth. The forward price-to-earnings ratio sits at just 7, a level that looks almost absurd for a company expanding at this pace. Lynx Equity holds the highest Wall Street price target at $825, noting that Micron’s HBM capacity is sold out through the end of 2027, with negotiations for 2028 already underway. The next-generation HBM4 chips, designed for Nvidia’s Vera-Rubin platform, are fully allocated for the entirety of 2026.

The supply-demand imbalance is stark. Micron admits it can only satisfy between half and two-thirds of the medium-term demand for HBM chips, a gap that is driving prices sharply higher. That pricing power is the engine behind the margin expansion and the record earnings. The broader HBM market is expected to triple to $100 billion by 2028, according to Micron’s own projections, and the company is pouring more than $25 billion in capital expenditure this fiscal year to scale capacity.

Competition is intensifying, however. SK Hynix, the South Korean memory giant that has long dominated the HBM segment, is planning a US listing through American Depositary Receipts. That move would strip Micron of its status as the only publicly traded DRAM manufacturer in the United States, a distinction that has historically commanded a valuation premium. In the near term, that premium could compress. But some market observers argue Micron’s growth trajectory will ultimately outpace its rival’s, precisely because the US company still has room to close the global market share gap.

Should investors sell immediately? Or is it worth buying Micron?

Behind the scenes, Micron is also playing a political game. The company is pressing the US Congress to tighten export controls on chip-making equipment, specifically targeting Chinese competitors like Yangtze Memory and SMIC. A House committee is currently debating the so-called “MATCH Act,” which would restrict foreign suppliers from selling advanced production gear to Chinese firms. Micron has framed the issue as a national security risk, though the legislation is still in its early stages and faces an uncertain path through Congress.

The automotive angle adds another layer to the growth story. Today’s vehicles carry roughly 16 gigabytes of RAM. With the arrival of fully autonomous Level 4 driving, that figure is expected to jump to more than 300 gigabytes per car. That is not incremental growth—it is an order-of-magnitude shift, and one that plays directly into Micron’s memory portfolio.

Additional tailwinds are coming from Europe. ASML, the Dutch lithography equipment supplier, recently raised its 2026 revenue forecast, citing customers who are aggressively expanding production capacity. That supports Micron’s thesis of a prolonged supercycle in memory chips, one that is not just about AI but about a broader industrial transformation.

Of the 48 analysts covering Micron, 92% rate the stock a buy. The median price target stands at $550, roughly 21% above current levels. Since the start of the year, the shares have already gained 53%. The stock hit a fresh all-time high of €410 on Wednesday, reflecting a gain of more than 500% over the past twelve months.

Risks remain. Technological advances could eventually reduce the memory requirements of AI models, and the political push for tighter export controls is far from a done deal. But for now, Micron is riding a wave that shows no signs of cresting—and the next wave, driven by robots and autonomous vehicles, is already forming on the horizon.

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Tags: Micron
Rodolfo Hanigan

Rodolfo Hanigan

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